Publications / 1994 Proceedings of the 11th ISARC, Brighton, United Kingdom

Unstable Market Forecasting and Management Techniques for a Precast Component Fabricator

Naruo Kano, Masanori Kaku
Pages 349-356 (1994 Proceedings of the 11th ISARC, Brighton, United Kingdom, ISBN 9780444820440, ISSN 2413-5844)
Abstract:

This paper discusses that it is necessary to develop proper methodologies to ensure the stable production rate in a prefabrication factory under the fluctuation of the demand, in order to succeed in the implementation of automation and robotization in the factory. Authors applied the fuzzy theory to estimate the forthcoming order at the sales division. The fuzzy functions quantify the salesmen’s forecasts and transform them into the value of future market trend. With it authors developed the methodologies to stabilize the daily production by controlling the sales strength, the markup, and the production schedules. The above methodologies have been implemented in a prototype system on the MS-Windows platform and it has been verified that the methodologies are useful for the factories to maintain the stable production rate with highly advanced production lines.

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