Publications / 2008 Proceedings of the 25th ISARC, Vilnius, Lituania

Managerial Decisions about Alternative Automatic Equipment for Disaster Management in Construction

Edmundas K. Zavadskas, Egidijus R. Vaidogas
Pages 737-743 (2008 Proceedings of the 25th ISARC, Vilnius, Lituania, ISBN 978-9955-28-304-1, ISSN 2413-5844)
Abstract:

The choice among alternative automatic equipment used to protect the construction site against major accidents is considered. Methods of multi-attribute selection are suggested to implement the choice. This includes attributes accounting for the possibility of failure of the automatic equipment (safety-related attributes). The epistemic uncertainty in the safetyrelated attributes is quantified by means Bayesian analysis. Prior or posterior probability distributions of safety-related attributes developed during this analysis are used as input data for the multi-attribute selection.

Keywords: Disaster, automatic equipment, failure, multi-attribute selection, sprinklers, ventilation